Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 237.239902 267.271034 300.553728 340.337908 386.811051 439.635529 504.584286
2025-03-30 188.045568 226.376711 272.527111 332.804935 410.375028 508.111095 642.624736
2025-04-06 163.179449 204.922773 257.944329 331.395969 432.388196 569.227564 773.762539
2025-04-13 140.517813 182.042522 236.927200 316.429406 431.486462 596.618829 860.599919
2025-04-20 131.774101 175.881845 236.464659 328.151272 467.814266 680.386666 1044.963110
2025-04-27 125.326550 171.802574 237.890989 342.008191 508.364439 776.117315 1267.954523
2025-05-04 116.480338 163.190506 231.530337 342.853515 528.049104 840.809648 1451.129691
2025-05-11 106.677961 152.145846 220.246485 334.311191 530.640368 876.153006 1587.000399
2025-05-18 98.643386 143.004988 210.899607 327.602490 535.013536 914.670108 1736.981179
2025-05-25 95.116147 140.445662 211.534079 337.388443 569.489750 1014.366283 2039.013595
2025-06-01 89.821301 134.625166 206.305870 336.344624 583.696414 1076.707983 2274.326571
2025-06-08 84.114249 127.689698 198.607562 330.004101 586.775587 1116.553739 2466.649730
2025-06-15 80.070426 123.303401 195.033017 331.156001 605.531007 1194.828285 2784.288034
2025-06-22 75.076501 116.992517 187.661132 324.492351 607.624846 1237.048887 3021.086955
2025-06-29 71.390100 112.620983 183.301162 323.060838 620.371872 1306.104518 3357.580215
2025-07-06 66.090542 105.127741 172.806086 308.560727 602.899060 1299.360476 3463.897992
2025-07-13 64.927012 104.754402 175.155662 319.922416 644.421837 1447.814943 4122.473581
2025-07-20 64.076513 104.857853 178.361236 333.350695 692.797776 1625.599911 4967.320629
2025-07-27 61.668312 101.987519 175.722313 334.169727 711.286243 1726.166851 5578.814960
2025-08-03 58.347780 97.250433 169.164527 325.892322 706.243471 1758.448231 5935.643898
2025-08-10 55.476154 93.184493 163.644328 319.390601 704.865270 1801.678422 6362.840737
2025-08-17 54.574955 92.740851 165.215458 328.874317 746.245531 1986.469151 7534.988116
2025-08-24 52.605878 90.158098 162.318054 327.862832 759.589424 2085.269067 8361.119835